He Spoke... Now what?

Tensions in Egypt are high today following General Tanatwi's speech last night. The SCAF (The temporary ruling body in Egypt) leader presented a new timetable for the upcoming elections, hoping to quell the protesters. However, the protesters remain in the streets for now, while their leaders are considering their next move. The situation has an immediate effect on travel security and safety. While westerners are not targeted by protesters, incidental risks are relevant in the areas where the protests are taking place. It is also important to note the crime level in Egypt is on the rise, following the lack of proficient, motivated, police personnel (For a thorough assessment of crime in Cairo, feel free to email me with a particular area of interest). Contact Middle East Security vendors for local assistance.

---

The demands that fueled the recent protest

Protesters originally took the streets with two major demands.

1.       To change the elections timetable. SCAF's proposed schedule prolongs over almost a year and includes several rounds before the presidential elections in 2013. This means that SCAF will remain in power for a long "temporary" period.

2.       To fire the government. This is especially relevant following the proposed constitutional bill that guarantees the Military's ability to overthrow governments when necessary, and does not allow any intervention by the parliament in the military budget.

What now?

In yesterday's speech Tantawi announced the resignation of the government and moved up the election schedule (to be concluded in June 2012, instead of early 2013). The speech did not have the expected effect yet. Protesters have not left the demonstration centers in Cairo and other cities. The next few hours are critical as political parties will decide how to react to the speech. We expect one of two probable scenarios:

1.       The political parties will decide to end the current wave of protest and cooperate with the upcoming parliament elections. Most parties do not wish to create a situation that will postpone the elections set for the 28^th.

2.       The protesters will use the existing momentum to request the full and immediate resignation of SCAF.  

Foreigners in Cairo are advised to avoid all protest. If you encounter a protest, do not try to document or photograph it in any way. The next couple of days will be critical as far as travel security, advice and safety. If possible, stay in leading hotels, with a high level of security and services (For any questions and specific concerns, don't hesitate to contact us.